
Economy: G-20 To Meet About Continuing Financial Support
• "The Group of 20 leading nations will agree this weekend it is too early to pull the plug on emergency support for the global economy and launch a new system of checks to help rebalance world growth and prevent future crises," Reuters reports. "British finance minister Alistair Darling is hosting the third meeting of G20 finance ministers and central bankers this year in St Andrews, Scotland" today, "aiming to put flesh on the bones of agreements made at a leaders' summit in Pittsburgh in September."
• "A senior House Democrat said Thursday he would push to extend unemployment insurance benefits through all of 2010 before the end of this year, when the eligibility window for new enrollees will shut down or begin to phase out for existing beneficiaries," CongressDailyAM (subscription) reports. "The projected cost of such a program is potentially $80 billion to $85 billion, according to preliminary estimates."
• "No large financial firm should be too big to fail, said two members of the U.S. Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee," Bloomberg News reports. Republican Bob Corker of Tennessee and Democrat Mark Warner of Virginia "are sponsoring legislation to give the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. the authority to force large bank holding companies into receivership. Any firm that benefits from a government-funded orderly wind-down would be required to close its doors permanently to avoid a perpetual series of government bailouts."
If you had the opportunity to interview Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke, what questions might you ask?
-- John Maggs, NationalJournal.com
Responded on June 29, 2009 10:33 AM
Nancy Cleeland, Director, Bailout Analysis Project
1- Given the role of mega-banks and insurance companies in the current crisis, shouldn't the U.S. be more concerned about letting financial players get too big? What in the reform package will prevent continued consolidation?
2- As the Federal Reserve's balance sheet and responsibilities expand dramatically, is it time to look at restructuring the body to make it more diverse and democratic?
Responded on June 29, 2009 9:53 AM
Nicolas Véron, Research Fellow, Bruegel
My question would be, is the Obama Plan’s proposal to give the Fed the mission to supervise systemically important financial firms (‘Tier-1 Financial Holding Companies) compatible with monetary policy independence?
Responded on June 29, 2009 7:52 AM
J.D. Foster , Senior Economist, the Heritage Foundation
1) Much of the argument that inflation will remain subdued seems to be based on continued weakness in the U.S. and indeed the global economies. In effect, a sizeable output gap is expected to prevent price pressures from arising. This may work for a period, but the expression of “stagflation” was created specifically to describe a period when economic weakness and rising inflation occurred simultaneously. Given the unprecedented infusions of liquidity into the credit markets by the Fed and the ECB and others, should we be concerned that the output gap break won’t be enough to halt the rapid inflation train?
2) For a variety of reasons, the inflation expectations genie has remained in his bottle. The longer he remains there, the more flexibility the Fed will have in dealing with financial markets now, and inflationary pressures later. What kinds of events might awaken the genie before we are ready?
3) Much is made of the need for a systemic risk regulator, nationally and internationally. It sounds fine in general, but how could such a regulator be constituted so that it would ...
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Responded on June 29, 2009 7:51 AM
Desmond Lachman, Resident Fellow, American Enterprise Institute
(a) How does Mr. Bernanke assess the Fed’s policy of quantitative easing? Since the FOMC’s April announcement that the Fed would buy US$1,450 billion in Mortgage-Backed Securities and US$300 billion in US Treasuries, long term interest rates have risen rather than declined. Does this suggest that the Fed has limited power to affect long-term interest rates?
(b) How much of a constraint does he find the Obama Administration’s budget proposal on the Fed’s room for maneuver? The CBO is suggesting that the Obama budget proposals would keep the US budget deficit high at between 4-6 percent of GDP for many years to come even after the economy fully recovers. How is Mr. Bernanke going to assure markets that the Fed will not be monetizing these deficits?
(c) How does Mr. Bernanke see the health of the US financial system? Since the Treasury’s stress test of the 19 banks, unemployment has moved to a trajectory, which suggests that the worst-case scenario of the stress test is too optimistic. Is there a Plan B if we get renewed stresses in the financial system?
(d) The Fed has tre...
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